Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T08:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x3599…a603 crypto 642 markets active 0h ago coverage 37d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$691 (-3%) realized −$691 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate44%285W / 357L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$35per market
Trades / day68.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$237
7 days−$835
14 days−$1,764
30 days−$1,419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$960
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 279 -23.8% -31.0% 42% 30% -14.3%
≤30d 596 -28.3% -35.1% 41% 30% -15.7%
≤90d 642 -22.0% -29.4% 44% 33% -13.4%
all 642 -22.0% -29.4% 44% 33% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 33% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -36.1% 26% -21.7%
15% -42.3% 21% -29.2%
20% -48.0% 16% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -24% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$16 · ×1.04 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$691
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses285 / 357
Open positions0
Markets (closed)642 / 642
History coverage37d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day68.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 642 Trades
no open positions (137 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 27 $26 −$5 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 27 $55 −$6 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $36 +$17 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $255 −$21 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $342 +$26 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $119 +$15 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $126 −$23 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $248 +$66 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $239 +$49 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 27 $104 −$76 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $78 +$10 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $200 −$51 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 27 $226 −$222 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $248 +$24 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 27 $413 −$63 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $183 +$112 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $184 +$19 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 27 $102 +$9 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $245 −$5 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $108 −$26 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$4 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $47 +$6 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $36 +$10 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $81 +$6 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $125 +$7 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $111 +$20 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $36 −$34 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $117 −$42 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 26 $63 +$26 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $33 −$32 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $24 −$23 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $75 +$10 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $175 −$168 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 26 $17 −$16 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $57 −$54 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 26 $37 −$36 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $88 +$215 +243%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $37 −$24 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $105 −$28 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $15 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $23 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3043 history records