Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:28:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x35a0…a8f6 crypto 1469 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (107 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$44 (+0%) realized +$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1447W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day107.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$780
14 days−$146
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (107 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 278 -4.6% -13.7% 94% 0% -18.2%
≤30d 1469 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1469 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
all 1469 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover107.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$59 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1447 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1469 / 1469
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$55
Trades / day107.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1469 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $54 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $53 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $53 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $44 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $47 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $46 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $47 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $53 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $26 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $49 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $27 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records