Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35a2…bf60
crypto · 1469 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1005 / 463
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1468 / 1469
History coverage17d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day120.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1468 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$145
7 days−$25
14 days−$58
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 40¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 735 -2.1% -11.4% 63% 20% -12.3%
≤30d 1468 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 15% -11.1%
≤90d 1468 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 15% -11.1%
all 1468 -2.4% -11.7% 68% 15% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 15% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 12% -19.6%
15% -27.9% 12% -27.4%
20% -35.0% 12% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.31 · official $1.56 (match) · 3500 history records