Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:02:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35a9…fbd7
crypto · 161 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$89 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$84 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$84
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses76 / 84
Open positions1
Markets (closed)160 / 161
History coverage19d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$15
14 days−$1
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$6 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $13 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $18 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $9 +$13 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $11 +$11 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 06 $14 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 06 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 06 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 06 $17 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$18 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $9 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 03 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $9 +$11 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 03 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET May 25 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 25 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 25 $12 −$2 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$89
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $14 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $14 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $17 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -4.8% -13.8% 59% 56% -6.3%
≤30d 160 -6.0% -14.9% 48% 16% -12.2%
≤90d 160 -6.0% -14.9% 48% 16% -12.2%
all 160 -6.0% -14.9% 48% 16% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 16% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 12% -20.6%
15% -30.5% 8% -28.3%
20% -37.3% 6% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 717 history records