trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 40% | 5% | -17.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 50% | 12% | -16.5% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 50% | 12% | -16.5% |
| all | 26 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 50% | 12% | -16.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.3% | 12% | -16.5% |
| 10% | -38.8% | 8% | -24.5% |
| 15% | -44.7% | 8% | -31.8% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 8% | -38.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 26? | No | 92¢ | 90¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25? | No | 85¢ | 42¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-51%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 25? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $13 | −$3 | -22% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $32 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 25? | Jun 25 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$5 | +99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24? | Jun 24 | $29 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$4 | -78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$2 | -82% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 23? | Jun 23 | $54 | +$5 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $51 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22? | Jun 22 | $3 | −$1 | -43% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 22 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner | Jun 12 | $6 | +$5 | +73% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S | Jun 11 | $28 | −$12 | -44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $17 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9? | Jun 10 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |