Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35ae…f93a
sports · 98 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$22 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$23
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses59 / 26
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions13
Markets (closed)85 / 98
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day48.3
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 13 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$24
14 days+$23
30 days+$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 85¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 93¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
US x China Military clash before 2027? No 95¢ 92¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C Young Ninjas 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7 −$3 -49%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 −$3 -59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 -16%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$1 +16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$2 +30%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$5 +67%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $18 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$1 -34%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $33 +$8 +24%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $7 −$1 -18%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $13 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $6 −$4 -66%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $21 $0 -0%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 -5%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $6 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $9 +$1 +15%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $18 −$2 -11%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $7 +$1 +12%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$22
other 6% $0
world 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 94¢ $2 9m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 9m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 91¢ $1 12m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 88¢ $1 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 22¢ $0 26m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 45¢ $0 27m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 49¢ $0 28m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 44¢ $0 30m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 27¢ $0 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 80¢ $1 33m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 71¢ $1 35m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 63¢ $1 35m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 50¢ $1 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 80¢ $1 37m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 88¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 81¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 92¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 64¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 75¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl SELL Team Vitality 100¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 72¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Vitality 74¢ $4 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 53¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 63¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 80¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +5.3% -4.7% 70% 51% -3.5%
≤30d 85 +4.5% -5.4% 69% 48% -3.7%
≤90d 85 +4.5% -5.4% 69% 48% -3.7%
all 85 +4.5% -5.4% 69% 48% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 48% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 22% -12.9%
15% -22.7% 13% -21.3%
20% -30.3% 6% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.52 · official $19.52 (match) · 423 history records