Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35b9…0e2b
crypto · 244 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$963 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$962 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$962
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses21 / 222
Open positions1
Markets (closed)243 / 244
History coverage88d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day10.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 95¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$72 +1684%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$23 +444%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$6 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$36 +333%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$33 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$78 +1463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$23 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? Mar 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET Mar 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12PM ET Mar 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Mar 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET Mar 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 24 $6 −$6 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$920
other 2% −$12
finance 1% −$25
economics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-46.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +70.9% +54.6% 36% 36% -0.4%
≤30d 39 +70.9% +54.6% 36% 36% -0.4%
≤90d 243 -41.3% -46.9% 9% 9% -62.3%
all 243 -41.3% -46.9% 9% 9% -62.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -46.9% 9% -62.3%
10% -52.0% 9% -65.9%
15% -56.6% 9% -69.2%
20% -60.9% 7% -72.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.89 · official $2.61 (match) · 998 history records