Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35bb…009b
world · 97 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$238,425 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,423 · open +$3,280
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103,817
Realized+$18,423
Unrealized+$3,280
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses49 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$313
Open positions43
Markets (closed)81 / 97
History coverage21d
Avg bet$16,635
Trades / day162.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 43 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,826
7 days+$21,592
14 days+$9,891
30 days+$18,423
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 93¢ 99¢ $19,113 $20,281 +$1,168 (+6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $16,640 $16,581 −$59 (-0%)
New pandemic in 2026? No 88¢ 90¢ $11,000 $11,187 +$187 (+2%)
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 97¢ 99¢ $8,770 $8,896 +$126 (+1%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 96¢ 99¢ $7,607 $7,845 +$238 (+3%)
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30? No 87¢ 98¢ $5,501 $6,187 +$685 (+12%)
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 96¢ 97¢ $5,455 $5,554 +$99 (+2%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026? Yes 61¢ 72¢ $3,515 $4,189 +$674 (+19%)
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No 75¢ 82¢ $3,750 $4,125 +$375 (+10%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 24¢ 23¢ $3,695 $3,526 −$169 (-5%)
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 99¢ 99¢ $2,913 $2,930 +$18 (+1%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 51¢ 64¢ $2,246 $2,815 +$569 (+25%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No 84¢ 80¢ $2,100 $2,000 −$100 (-5%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $1,641 $1,668 +$27 (+2%)
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? No 74¢ 78¢ $1,201 $1,266 +$65 (+5%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 68¢ 84¢ $926 $1,139 +$213 (+23%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 63¢ 89¢ $383 $544 +$161 (+42%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 82¢ 84¢ $499 $515 +$15 (+3%)
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No 91¢ 93¢ $482 $496 +$14 (+3%)
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No 84¢ 94¢ $420 $468 +$48 (+11%)
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No 70¢ 70¢ $376 $381 +$4 (+1%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Yes 68¢ 34¢ $704 $357 −$347 (-49%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 77¢ 84¢ $259 $284 +$25 (+10%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 83¢ 90¢ $207 $224 +$16 (+8%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes 28¢ 8¢ $448 $132 −$316 (-70%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026? Jun 14 $298 −$298 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 14 $32 −$84 -266%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun Jun 14 $4,532 −$4,245 -94%
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 14 $9,863 +$328 +3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 13 $6,224 +$311 +5%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $23,106 +$1,679 +7%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17? Jun 13 $610 +$51 +8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 13 $1,717 +$195 +11%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 13 $3,072 +$273 +9%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $7,678 +$348 +4%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $464 +$91 +20%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $13,000 $0 +0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2,601 +$334 +13%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Jun 12 $1,935 +$428 +22%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $1,987 −$120 -6%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $6,725 −$151 -2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $23,215 +$2,823 +12%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 12 $44,406 −$203 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $888 +$97 +11%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 11 $19,105 +$14,711 +77%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 11 $3,765 +$633 +17%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $8,683 −$297 -3%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 10 $105,343 +$2,851 +3%
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? Jun 10 $4,048 +$46 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $3,438 +$247 +7%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $176 +$4 +2%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 09 $14,046 −$66 -0%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $4,960 +$25 +0%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $4,863 −$590 -12%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Jun 09 $108 +$96 +89%
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 08 $26,611 −$511 -2%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $13,241 +$827 +6%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $6,683 −$33 -0%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $4,323 +$137 +3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 08 $38,871 +$1,658 +4%
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw? Jun 08 $10,935 +$1,353 +12%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? Jun 08 $3,150 −$157 -5%
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw? Jun 08 $386 +$13 +3%
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Jun 08 $1,367 +$148 +11%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 07 $69,860 +$70 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? Jun 07 $1,713 −$34 -2%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2,793 +$17 +1%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 07 $1,340 −$1,317 -98%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 05 $28 +$5 +16%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $295 $0 -0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? Jun 04 $11,251 +$205 +2%
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30? Jun 04 $13 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 66% +$16,523
crypto 14% +$6,885
politics 9% +$3,891
other 7% −$886
finance 2% −$549
sports 2% +$496
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $493 1m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $51 1m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $240 1m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $51 1m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $81 2m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $592 3m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $29 5m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $5 8m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 11m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $5 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 12m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 15m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 15m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $21 19m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $225 20m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $29 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $5 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $2,027 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -7.9% -16.7% 61% 24% -5.6%
≤30d 81 -3.5% -12.7% 60% 21% -7.3%
≤90d 81 -3.5% -12.7% 60% 21% -7.3%
all 81 -3.5% -12.7% 60% 21% -7.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover162.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 21% -7.3%
10% -21.1% 5% -16.1%
15% ← realistic here -28.7% 4% -24.2%
20% -35.7% 4% -31.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103,817.16 · official $103,806.89 (match) · 3500 history records