Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:02:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35be…be76
crypto · 888 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$127 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses443 / 445
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)888 / 888
History coverage159d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 888 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$33
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) Pistons 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Ducks Golden Knights 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 01 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 31 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 30 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 18 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 18 $11 +$17 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 18 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 18 $11 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 18 $5 +$16 +303%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET May 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12? May 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET May 11 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 11 $10 +$7 +72%
Knicks vs. 76ers May 10 $11 +$10 +86%
Golden Knights vs. Ducks May 10 $11 −$11 -99%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5 May 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Thunder vs. Lakers May 10 $25 +$7 +29%
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) May 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 May 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5 May 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 08 $15 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2? May 01 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 30 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Apr 30 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Apr 30 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 30 $10 −$7 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Apr 30 $21 +$8 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 30 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 30 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Apr 30 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 30 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Apr 30 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 30 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 30 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 30 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 30 $6 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Apr 30 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Apr 30 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Apr 30 $2 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$68
sports 1% −$38
other 1% −$18
culture 0% −$2
world 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 2d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $7 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $8 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $21 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $21 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -23.9% -31.2% 0% 0% -31.2%
≤30d 18 -8.3% -17.0% 33% 33% -10.8%
≤90d 655 -2.0% -11.3% 51% 42% -10.4%
all 888 -3.1% -12.3% 50% 38% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 38% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 29% -18.7%
15% -28.4% 23% -26.6%
20% -35.4% 18% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records