Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:53:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35c0…81d6
sports · 1725 markets active 47d ago
0.0score
+$8,111 +2080%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,573 · open +$511
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$600
Realized+$6,573
Unrealized+$511
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses103 / 1989
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions122
Markets (closed)2092 / 1725
Avg bet$0
Trades / day50.5
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 122 History 2092 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,578
7 days+$6,578
14 days+$6,578
30 days+$6,578
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 10¢ $1 $75 +$74 (+9900%)
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 6¢ $1 $43 +$42 (+6000%)
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 4¢ $1 $43 +$41 (+3400%)
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 15¢ $0 $41 +$41 (+14850%)
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 4¢ $1 $40 +$39 (+3750%)
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $1 $37 +$35 (+3050%)
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 4¢ $1 $34 +$33 (+3440%)
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $1 $19 +$18 (+1550%)
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 5¢ $0 $18 +$17 (+4850%)
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? Yes 0¢ 8¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+7800%)
Will Gabriel Fernando Indi win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $1 $13 +$13 (+2350%)
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $0 $13 +$12 (+2750%)
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+850%)
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $0 $12 +$11 (+2440%)
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $2 $11 +$10 (+650%)
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $8 +$7 (+950%)
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+650%)
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+850%)
Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+1400%)
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+750%)
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 4¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+3400%)
Will the Union for Central African Renewal win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+850%)
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+1100%)
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $0 $3 +$2 (+650%)
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+350%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 13? Jun 12 $0 +$1,201 +133399000%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on Au Jun 12 $0 +$18 +2010556%
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? Jun 12 $0 +$694 +77081544%
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9? Jun 12 $0 +$14 +1571233%
Bitcoin above $116K on August 22? Jun 12 $0 +$76 +8428111%
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 5? Jun 12 $0 +$60 +6638333%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,900 on October 16? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +371856%
Ethereum above $4600 on August 22? Jun 12 $0 +$112 +12464222%
Will Pedro Neto be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup? Jun 12 $0 +$7 +809111%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on Ju Jun 12 $0 +$7 +793667%
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August? Jun 12 $0 +$62 +6857222%
Terra Wortmann: Khachanov vs. Etcheverry Jun 12 $0 +$138 +15288000%
Ethereum all time high by August 22? Jun 12 $0 +$114 +12695667%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 10? Jun 12 $0 +$129 +14333222%
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $0 +$51 +5664456%
Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 +$28 +3065544%
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? Jun 12 $0 +$52 +6543762%
Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings? Jun 12 $0 +$106 +13223762%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 3? Jun 12 $0 +$292 +36535638%
XRP above $3.00 on August 22? Jun 12 $0 +$28 +3538138%
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22? Jun 12 $0 +$21 +2600562%
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on November 1? Jun 12 $0 +$14 +1726762%
Will Sidemen's next video get between 7–8 million views on week 1? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +153638%
Counter-Strike: Pigeons vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Jun 12 $0 +$12 +1444300%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 10? Jun 12 $0 +$112 +14030088%
Will Victor Osimhen sign with a new club during the transfer window? Jun 12 $0 +$65 +8165762%
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +428762%
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship? Jun 12 $0 +$149 +21228871%
Will XRP dip to $1.90 January 12-18? Jun 12 $0 +$12 +1707457%
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? Jun 12 $0 +$153 +21812243%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 4 at 12AM ET? Jun 12 $0 +$18 +2527886%
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +418457%
Will Team Heretics win the 2025 Valorant Esports World Cup Tournament? Jun 12 $0 +$77 +11021314%
Will anyone say "Enterprise" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call? Jun 12 $0 +$91 +12969886%
Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 4.0–5.5 million views o Jun 12 $0 +$13 +2204850%
Will FedEx say "E-commerce / Ecommerce" during earnings call? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +461133%
Lighter Airdrop on December 24? Jun 12 $0 +$191 +31790783%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on September 6 at 4PM Jun 12 $0 +$26 +4347800%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $0 +$21 +3445550%
Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Nove Jun 12 $0 +$618 +102969633%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Oc Jun 12 $0 +$1 +223680%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +688480%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on Jul Jun 12 $0 +$4 +743480%
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary E Jun 12 $0 +$19 +3798480%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on Jul Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1457480%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1? Jun 12 $0 +$28 +5635020%
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Jun 12 $0 +$297 +59409200%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 20 at 5PM Jun 12 $0 +$13 +2694300%
Will Billie Eilish be the top Spotify artist for 2025? Jun 12 $0 +$684 +171004125%
Will the price of Solana be above $200 on October 13? Jun 12 $0 +$32 +7977125%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 40% −$78
other 23% +$576
crypto 12% −$9
tech 9% −$37
world 7% +$21
weather 4% +$41
politics 3% +$1
culture 1% −$5
economics 1% −$3
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 31¢ $10 46d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 9¢ $2 47d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 19¢ $5 47d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 18¢ $3 47d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 8¢ $1 47d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 8¢ $0 47d
Will Logan Stankoven win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 48d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 14¢ $6 48d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 12¢ $4 48d
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 51d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 36¢ $5 53d
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch? SELL Yes 8¢ $21 57d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 21¢ $1 59d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 17¢ $2 59d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 9¢ $1 59d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 13¢ $1 59d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 11¢ $0 59d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 12¢ $0 59d
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $23 60d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 16¢ $8 60d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 8¢ $2 60d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 19¢ $8 60d
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2 SELL Yes 8¢ $15 61d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 11¢ $12 61d
Will Leandro Rocha win Big Brother Brasil 26? SELL Yes 8¢ $11 62d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 10¢ $2 63d
Will Evelyn rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 20 SELL Yes 8¢ $2 64d
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential electio SELL Yes 8¢ $0 65d
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National Peopl SELL Yes 8¢ $0 65d
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s SELL Yes 37¢ $3 65d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 368 +298.7% +260.7% 19% 19% -84.1%
≤30d 368 +298.7% +260.7% 19% 19% -84.1%
≤90d 369 +303.3% +264.9% 19% 19% -84.1%
all 2092 -2.2% -11.5% 5% 5% -78.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 5% -78.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 5% -80.2%
15% -27.7% 5% -82.2%
20% -34.8% 5% -83.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $600.03 · official $553.78 · 3500 history records