Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35c2…8d73
sports · 6 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$47 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$48
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 50¢ 50¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 44¢ 44¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ 50¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $40 +$25 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 50¢ $16 4h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 50¢ $18 5h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 44¢ $18 5h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 46¢ $12 23h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ $40 24h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 52¢ $61 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-51.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -46.0% -51.1% 33% 33% -47.7%
≤30d 3 -46.0% -51.1% 33% 33% -47.7%
≤90d 3 -46.0% -51.1% 33% 33% -47.7%
all 3 -46.0% -51.1% 33% 33% -47.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -51.1% 33% -47.7%
10% -55.8% 33% -52.7%
15% -60.1% 33% -57.3%
20% -64.0% 33% -61.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.08 · official $52.08 (match) · 9 history records