Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:00:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35c8…ce5c
sports · 133 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$92,280 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$78,792 · open −$201
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,206
Realized+$78,792
Unrealized−$201
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses93 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$1,929
Open positions20
Markets (closed)116 / 133
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2,608
Trades / day479.2
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 20 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49,679
7 days+$78,792
14 days+$78,792
30 days+$78,792
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2,966 $2,820 −$147 (-5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $2,157 $2,087 −$70 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 42¢ 42¢ $504 $510 +$6 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 47¢ 48¢ $270 $271 +$1 (+0%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? No 17¢ 18¢ $236 $239 +$3 (+1%)
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? No 60¢ 69¢ $173 $199 +$26 (+15%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $195 $195 +$0 (+0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? No 51¢ 52¢ $153 $154 +$1 (+1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 50¢ 50¢ $137 $138 +$1 (+0%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 39¢ 40¢ $135 $136 +$2 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 29¢ 30¢ $116 $118 +$2 (+2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $81 $81 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $61 $60 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $44 $46 +$1 (+2%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 67¢ 38¢ $67 $38 −$30 (-44%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 36¢ 36¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 56¢ 57¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? No 32¢ 32¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+2%)
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $1,194 $0 −$1,194 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $331 $0 −$331 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4,140 +$72 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $1,651 +$97 +6%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $15,670 +$475 +3%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1,692 +$8 +0%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $64 +$1 +2%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $18,388 +$4,730 +26%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,882 +$53 +3%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 13 $23 +$1 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $46 −$45 -98%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $398 +$30 +7%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3,065 +$5 +0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $2,121 +$21 +1%
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $140 +$136 +97%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $201 +$35 +17%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4,201 +$2,340 +56%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10,835 +$420 +4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $3,547 +$38 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$4 +4%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4,152 +$4 +0%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $195 −$30 -16%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $107 +$2 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,197 −$1,194 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $55,294 +$42,641 +77%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $46 +$14 +30%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $637 +$8 +1%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 12 $24 +$32 +133%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $803 +$9 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $22,539 −$651 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$4 +43%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $832 +$8 +1%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $216 +$2 +1%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $357 +$311 +87%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $46 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $653 +$17 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,543 −$331 -13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,804 +$34 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $29,699 +$300 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $410 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $294 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $190 +$5 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $814 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,806 +$46 +3%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,120 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $33 +$1 +3%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $118 +$5 +4%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $115 +$5 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12,482 +$184 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$50,881
sports 36% +$27,699
crypto 0% +$9
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $3 4m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $1,151 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $10 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $5 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $97 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $5 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $20 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $5 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $485 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $96 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $10 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $1 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $485 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $30 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $16 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $25 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $5 9m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $603 9m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $3 10m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $3,000 12m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $1 12m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $6 16m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 98¢ $195 16m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $1 18m
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 53¢ $318 22m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $2 23m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $1 23m
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY No 39¢ $1 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $998 27m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $14 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 +41.8% +28.3% 80% 20% +16.0%
≤30d 116 +41.8% +28.3% 80% 20% +16.0%
≤90d 116 +41.8% +28.3% 80% 20% +16.0%
all 116 +41.8% +28.3% 80% 20% +16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover479.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.3% 20% +16.0%
10% +16.0% 17% +4.9%
15% ← realistic here +4.8% 15% -5.3%
20% -5.5% 14% -14.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,206.34 · official $7,206.37 (match) · 3500 history records