Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35f3…cfd0
other · 165 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$35,242 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36,788 · open +$2,139
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,884
Realized−$36,788
Unrealized+$2,139
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses95 / 519
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions22
Markets (closed)614 / 165
History coverage60d
Avg bet$1,336
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit4%
Chart Positions 22 History 614 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50,220
7 days−$45,919
14 days−$46,992
30 days−$43,965
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 12¢ 57¢ $476 $2,305 +$1,829 (+385%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 5¢ 38¢ $189 $1,305 +$1,116 (+592%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 52¢ $240 $1,260 +$1,020 (+425%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 38¢ $240 $900 +$660 (+275%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 77¢ 89¢ $463 $532 +$69 (+15%)
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No 77¢ 91¢ $231 $273 +$42 (+18%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 5¢ $209 $106 −$102 (-49%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $85 $85 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $162 $50 −$112 (-69%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 50¢ 2¢ $950 $34 −$916 (-96%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $69 $12 −$58 (-83%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $195 $8 −$187 (-96%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $69 $3 −$67 (-96%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $138 $2 −$137 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $138 $2 −$137 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $138 $2 −$137 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $138 $2 −$137 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $111 $1 −$110 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $240 $1 −$239 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $198 $1 −$197 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $45 $1 −$44 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? Jun 12 $99 −$82 -83%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 16 to September 23, Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026 Jun 12 $96 −$130 -136%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 12 $240 −$240 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$37 -620%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026 Jun 12 $66 −$70 -105%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? Jun 12 $110 −$139 -126%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? Jun 12 $26 −$50 -194%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 12 $228 −$228 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $127 −$127 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? Jun 12 $211 −$211 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 Jun 12 $17 −$33 -194%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 Jun 12 $17 −$18 -107%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? Jun 12 $776 −$776 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 12 $235 −$307 -130%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025? Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $21 −$58 -274%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 19 to September 26, Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 2 Jun 12 $20 −$25 -123%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 12 $1,102 −$295 -27%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025 Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 20 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? Jun 12 $91 −$32 -36%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $31 −$58 -188%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026 Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$19,572
tech 1% −$1,281
politics 1% +$70
world 0% +$8
crypto 0% −$5
sports 0% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24m
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24m
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 25m
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 25m
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 33m
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 2h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $87 4h
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 4h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $11 4h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $20 4h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 4h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 4h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 6h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $19 6h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 73¢ $45 7h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 17¢ $55 7h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 69¢ $350 9h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $25 9h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 14h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $42 14h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 8¢ $15 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-39.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 454 -81.7% -83.4% 4% 4% -57.8%
≤30d 519 -67.5% -70.6% 10% 9% -29.8%
≤90d 614 -32.6% -39.1% 15% 14% -20.2%
all 614 -32.6% -39.1% 15% 14% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.1% 14% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -44.9% 13% -27.9%
15% -50.2% 12% -34.8%
20% -55.1% 11% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,884.31 · official $6,884.93 (match) · 3500 history records