Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:46:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x35f7…6025 other 47 markets active 11h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$70 (-23%) realized −$70 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -33% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate19%9W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day10.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit23%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$60
14 days−$75
30 days−$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 62% −$28
sports 37% −$44
crypto 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-39.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -47.4% -52.4% 16% 16% -45.3%
≤30d 47 -32.8% -39.2% 19% 19% -31.8%
≤90d 47 -32.8% -39.2% 19% 19% -31.8%
all 47 -32.8% -39.2% 19% 19% -31.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.2% 19% -31.8%
10% -45.0% 17% -38.3%
15% -50.3% 13% -44.3%
20% -55.2% 11% -49.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 41% · top 2 68% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -25% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -33% · $-wt -25% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -49% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$4 · ×2.3 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses9 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $2 $0 -14%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -99%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -91%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $3 −$2 -58%
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 17 $20 +$5 +26%
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? Jun 17 $3 +$1 +33%
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? Jun 17 $4 −$1 -21%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? Jun 17 $5 −$3 -58%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $3 −$3 -93%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 16 $9 −$7 -72%
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $4 +$8 +185%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 15 $8 −$6 -79%
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 15 $5 +$11 +238%
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -91%
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $12 −$9 -77%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $9 −$1 -12%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +123%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $14 −$9 -60%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $8 −$2 -27%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -42%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $6 +$37 +596%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -92%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$23 -91%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $50 −$1 -2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $12 −$10 -84%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $8 +$24 +311%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL G2 19¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY G2 21¢ $2 15h
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 53¢ $3 37h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 37h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 38h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 40h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 41h
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 100¢ $25 2d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 79¢ $20 2d
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 2d
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 2d
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 2d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 3d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 45¢ $9 3d
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? SELL Yes 21¢ $12 3d
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway? BUY Yes 7¢ $4 3d
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 3d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? SELL Yes 10¢ $2 4d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 45¢ $8 4d
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 90 history records