Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:06:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3607…d3ff
sports · 47 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$212,281 -74%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212,289 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$212,289
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses41 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$1,339
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage93d
Avg bet$6,132
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$212,925
7 days−$212,925
14 days−$212,925
30 days−$212,925
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Gen.G 85¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 77¢ 0¢ $1,495 $0 −$1,495 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 92¢ 0¢ $2,102 $0 −$2,102 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 79¢ 0¢ $213,012 $0 −$213,012 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A BNK FEARX 77¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $213,826 −$213,012 -100%
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils Jun 14 $500 +$87 +17%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Mar 21 $1,495 −$1,495 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 21 $1,400 −$1,400 -100%
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies Mar 21 $1,314 +$90 +7%
Warriors vs. Pistons Mar 21 $648 +$19 +3%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers Mar 21 $500 +$147 +29%
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Mar 20 $1,000 +$147 +15%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Mar 20 $2,102 −$2,102 -100%
Lakers vs. Heat Mar 20 $50 +$7 +15%
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Mar 20 $1,912 +$69 +4%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) Mar 19 $500 +$23 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B Mar 19 $1,000 +$41 +4%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Mar 19 $2,933 +$151 +5%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B Mar 19 $1,000 +$3 +0%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Mar 19 $1,000 +$63 +6%
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 19 $500 −$500 -100%
Warriors vs. Celtics Mar 19 $4,000 +$348 +9%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 18 $6,555 +$465 +7%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 18 $6,426 +$130 +2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner Mar 18 $1,666 +$345 +21%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 18 $2,870 +$544 +19%
76ers vs. Nuggets Mar 18 $5,389 +$148 +3%
Cavaliers vs. Bucks Mar 18 $4,746 +$643 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Mar 18 $4,271 +$475 +11%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Mar 17 $10 +$3 +32%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Mar 17 $300 +$75 +25%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 17 $350 +$60 +17%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A Mar 17 $2,000 +$518 +26%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-15? Mar 16 $1,000 +$87 +9%
Pacers vs. Bucks Mar 16 $1,500 +$773 +52%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Mar 16 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Beijing Royal Fighters Mar 15 $1,000 +$67 +7%
Wizards vs. Celtics Mar 15 $158 +$7 +4%
Nets vs. 76ers Mar 15 $850 +$84 +10%
Bucks vs. Hawks Mar 15 $1,111 +$122 +11%
Hornets vs. Spurs Mar 15 $1,111 +$244 +22%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $1,000 +$176 +18%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14? Mar 14 $1,000 +$205 +20%
Pelicans vs. Rockets Mar 14 $649 +$145 +22%
Knicks vs. Pacers Mar 14 $1,000 +$25 +2%
Grizzlies vs. Pistons Mar 14 $1,000 +$31 +3%
Bulls vs. Lakers Mar 13 $1,109 +$11 +1%
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norrie Mar 13 $1,480 +$49 +3%
Nets vs. Hawks Mar 13 $500 +$50 +10%
76ers vs. Pistons Mar 13 $500 +$56 +11%
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Mar 12 $1,995 +$487 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$213,222
other 3% +$934
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $20,828 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $282 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $395 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $38 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $4 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $62 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $19 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $31 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $79 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $4 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $142 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $15,800 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $11 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $186 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $142 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $87 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $15,800 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $4 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $3,160 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $163 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $1,671 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $95 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $95 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 79¢ $63 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -41.3% -46.9% 50% 50% -99.8%
≤30d 2 -41.3% -46.9% 50% 50% -99.8%
≤90d 32 -7.7% -16.4% 81% 41% -80.5%
all 47 -1.6% -11.0% 87% 43% -76.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 43% -76.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 15% -78.6%
15% -27.3% 2% -80.7%
20% -34.4% 2% -82.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 149 history records