Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x361f…369d crypto 93 markets active 11h ago coverage 5d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$12 (+1%) realized +$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate75%70W / 23L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day38.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$10
sports 1% −$5
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -2.0% -11.3% 75% 48% -9.2%
≤30d 93 -2.0% -11.3% 75% 48% -9.2%
≤90d 93 -2.0% -11.3% 75% 48% -9.2%
all 93 -2.0% -11.3% 75% 48% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 48% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 15% -17.9%
15% -27.5% 2% -25.8%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses70 / 23
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage5d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 93 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 11h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 193 history records