Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:37:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x362c…67e6
sports · 161 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$40 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$382
Realized+$75
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses81 / 68
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions12
Markets (closed)149 / 161
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day381.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 12 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$116
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 71¢ 68¢ $125 $121 −$4 (-3%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 33¢ 32¢ $51 $50 −$2 (-4%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ 100¢ $22 $37 +$15 (+71%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 85¢ 100¢ $31 $36 +$5 (+17%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 76¢ 100¢ $27 $36 +$9 (+31%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 54¢ 56¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+3%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Francesco Forti 65¢ 72¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+10%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Oliver Tarvet 72¢ 91¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+26%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 54¢ 44¢ $18 $15 −$3 (-19%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Lucia Bronzetti 87¢ 74¢ $17 $15 −$2 (-14%)
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Nuria Brancaccio 30¢ 26¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-16%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Frances Tiafoe 41¢ $23 $0 −$22 (-99%)
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Carlos Maria Zarate 20¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 46¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? No 22¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 50¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? No 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 42¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 66¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $54 −$1 -2%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $113 +$48 +42%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $31 +$4 +15%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $40 −$4 -9%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $96 +$40 +41%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $51 +$12 +24%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $35 +$7 +20%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $48 +$6 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $56 −$10 -18%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $78 +$6 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $2 +$2 +89%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $35 −$6 -18%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $73 −$25 -34%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $43 +$5 +11%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 11 $23 −$11 -48%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $13 +$2 +19%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $22 +$2 +11%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $27 +$3 +12%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $84 −$19 -22%
Will SC Recife vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $11 +$1 +11%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $58 +$6 +10%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $13 −$4 -35%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $25 +$4 +15%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $98 +$7 +7%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $30 +$34 +111%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $23 −$2 -8%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $10 −$4 -37%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $76 +$8 +10%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $33 $0 -1%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $27 +$3 +12%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $22 +$8 +39%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $4 +$2 +38%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $11 +$1 +6%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $40 +$14 +36%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $29 $0 -0%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $21 −$3 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$2
other 11% +$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 48¢ $4 2m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 91¢ $8 3m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 89¢ $5 5m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $6 8m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $6 8m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $6 8m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 73¢ $7 9m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $2 9m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $3 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 26¢ $2 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 71¢ $6 10m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 23¢ $2 11m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 69¢ $6 12m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 77¢ $4 13m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 69¢ $6 15m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 96¢ $9 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 36¢ $3 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 36¢ $3 16m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 69¢ $3 18m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $3 19m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 73¢ $4 19m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 56¢ $3 19m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 56¢ $3 19m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $3 20m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 71¢ $3 20m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 71¢ $4 20m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 22¢ $0 21m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 35¢ $2 21m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 18¢ $1 22m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 57¢ $5 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 42% -6.8%
≤30d 149 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 42% -6.8%
≤90d 149 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 42% -6.8%
all 149 -9.7% -18.3% 54% 42% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover381.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 42% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 25% -15.7%
15% -33.3% 19% -23.9%
20% -39.8% 9% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $381.90 · official $378.05 · 1375 history records