Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x363e…fad6
crypto · 1551 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1188 / 363
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1551 / 1551
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day638.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1551 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +76%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1551 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 76% -9.6%
≤30d 1551 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 76% -9.6%
≤90d 1551 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 76% -9.6%
all 1551 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 76% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover638.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 76% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 48% -18.3%
15% -27.9% 14% -26.2%
20% -35.0% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records