Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:11:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x364f…b71d
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$6 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage140d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-25%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) Jan 25 $15 −$4 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$1
other 27% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $2 41h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 41h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 43¢ $2 4d
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) SELL Gaethje 100¢ $6 139d
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY Gaethje 74¢ $5 139d
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) SELL Pimblett 25¢ $5 139d
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) BUY Pimblett 55¢ $10 139d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 33% -30.3%
≤30d 3 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 33% -30.3%
≤90d 3 -23.8% -31.0% 33% 33% -30.3%
all 4 -24.5% -31.7% 25% 25% -32.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.7% 25% -32.6%
10% -38.2% 25% -39.1%
15% -44.2% 25% -45.0%
20% -49.7% 25% -50.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.51 · official $1.51 (match) · 9 history records