Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:50:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x3650…d17c crypto 1410 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d only
✗ bot/MM pace (703 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$637 (-1%) realized −$620 · open −$17
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%1372W / 43L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day703.3pace
Fees−$134est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$1,066now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% −$134
other 8% −$321
sports 5% −$192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (703 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1415 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 1415 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 1415 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.2%
all 1415 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover703.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$32 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$1,066
Realized−$620
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1372 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions22
Markets (closed)1415 / 1410
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$64
Trades / day703.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 22 History 1415 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 81¢ 98¢ $243 $295 +$52 (+21%)
Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 80¢ $124 $123 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 54¢ 55¢ $108 $109 +$1 (+1%)
Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 62¢ $93 $75 −$18 (-19%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026? Yes 66¢ 64¢ $66 $64 −$2 (-2%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $55 $56 +$1 (+2%)
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 69¢ 70¢ $50 $50 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 60¢ $43 $44 +$1 (+3%)
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 66¢ 66¢ $43 $43 +$0 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $32 $33 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? Yes 29¢ 30¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+2%)
Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 6¢ $55 $18 −$37 (-67%)
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 15¢ $31 $18 −$13 (-42%)
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Solary 60¢ 56¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Yes 45¢ 48¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+6%)
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? No 48¢ 28¢ $6 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 16¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-22%)
Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-5%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 32 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $54 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $26 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $34 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $54 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $96 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $54 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $36 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $72 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 10m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $32 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $34 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $54 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $96 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 25m
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner SELL Solary 57¢ $281 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $72 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $90 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,065.57 · official $1,049.31 · 3500 history records