Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3654…1b78
crypto · 424 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,866 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,878 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$12,878
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses243 / 654
Open positions1
Markets (closed)897 / 424
History coverage2d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day1490.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 897 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12,873
7 days−$12,878
14 days−$12,878
30 days−$12,878
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $51 $64 +$13 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$312
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $31 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $31 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $29 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $28 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $27 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $14 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-57.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 897 -52.9% -57.4% 27% 13% -32.2%
≤30d 897 -52.9% -57.4% 27% 13% -32.2%
≤90d 897 -52.9% -57.4% 27% 13% -32.2%
all 897 -52.9% -57.4% 27% 13% -32.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1490.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.4% 13% -32.2%
10% ← realistic here -61.5% 7% -38.7%
15% -65.2% 5% -44.6%
20% -68.6% 3% -50.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.94 · official $26.56 · 3500 history records