Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:06:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3656…c468
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
7.0score
+$190 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$190 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$101
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$190
7 days+$190
14 days+$190
30 days+$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $315 −$26 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 +$213 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$34 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$5 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $289 18m
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $308 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $416 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $30 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $203 22h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $20 33h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 86¢ $30 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +13.0% +2.2% 50% 50% +18.9%
≤30d 6 +13.0% +2.2% 50% 50% +18.9%
≤90d 6 +13.0% +2.2% 50% 50% +18.9%
all 6 +13.0% +2.2% 50% 50% +18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.2% 50% +18.9%
10% -7.6% 33% +7.5%
15% -16.5% 33% -2.9%
20% -24.7% 33% -12.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records