Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T05:27:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x365f…706a sports 49 markets active 3h ago coverage 2d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 2d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1662 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$6,088 (+4%) realized +$6,088 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -52% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -64% what you keep after slip
Net edge-64%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate26%35W / 100L
Whale WR59%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3,439per market
Trades / day1662.3pace
Fees−$1,510est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$15,348
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1662 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-56.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -51.9% -56.5% 26% 9% -14.2%
≤30d 135 -51.9% -56.5% 26% 9% -14.2%
≤90d 135 -51.9% -56.5% 26% 9% -14.2%
all 135 -51.9% -56.5% 26% 9% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1662.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.5% 9% -14.2%
10% -60.7% 6% -22.4%
15% ← realistic here -64.5% 6% -29.9%
20% -68.0% 5% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
63% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -52% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 59% (≥$2,426) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
70.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$486 vs −$269 · ×1.8 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6,088
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses35 / 100
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$1,510
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 49
History coverage2d ⚠
Avg bet$3,439
Trades / day1662.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 135 Trades
no open positions (87 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros WTA: Maya Joint vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 29 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 29 $3,855 −$3,855 -100%
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 29 $1,583 −$1,583 -100%
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 29 $46 −$46 -100%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon Jun 29 $50 −$50 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Nao Hibino Jun 29 $83 −$83 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidel Jun 29 $681 −$681 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Anna Blinkova Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 29 $57 −$57 -100%
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatsc Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchova Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 29 $121 −$121 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Polona Hercog Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Poznan: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Max Hans Rehberg Jun 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Roberto Carballes Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 29 $39 −$39 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Billy Harris Jun 29 $58 −$58 -100%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: McCartney Kessler vs Madison Keys Jun 29 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Jun 29 $83 −$83 -100%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lina Gjorcheska Jun 29 $78 −$78 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Jun 29 $1,925 −$1,925 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 29 $274 −$274 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 29 $418 −$418 -100%
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 29 $49 −$49 -100%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Indianna Spink vs Kimberly Birre Jun 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Jun 29 $1,387 −$1,387 -100%
Poznan: Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 29 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 29 $33 −$33 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 29 $1,059 −$1,059 -100%
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 29 $59 −$59 -100%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Jun 29 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 29 $32 −$32 -100%
Figueira Da Foz: Matilde Jorge vs Jil Teichmann Jun 29 $53 −$53 -100%
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Nottingham 2: Dane Sweeny vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Nottingham 2: Roman Safiullin vs August Holmgren Jun 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 29 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 29 $38 −$38 -100%
Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Jaume Munar Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $80 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $4 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $0 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $5 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $1 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $3 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $1 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $9 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $1 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $5 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $2 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $0 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $2 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 15¢ $62 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 16¢ $93 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 88¢ $132 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 88¢ $50 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 88¢ $60 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 11¢ $4 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 21¢ $8 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 79¢ $63 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 79¢ $130 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 78¢ $246 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 60¢ $3 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 60¢ $102 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 38¢ $2 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 61¢ $201 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 38¢ $2 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 38¢ $2 3h
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox BUY New York Yankees 43¢ $52 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.34 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records