Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T08:58:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x3661…6aa4 crypto 805 markets active 1h ago coverage 28d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (98 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$330 (+1%) realized +$330 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate90%760W / 84L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day97.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$385
7 days−$109
14 days+$97
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$468
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (98 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 407 -9.4% -18.0% 85% 5% -10.0%
≤30d 844 -4.1% -13.2% 90% 6% -9.3%
≤90d 844 -4.1% -13.2% 90% 6% -9.3%
all 844 -4.1% -13.2% 90% 6% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover97.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 6% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 1% -18.0%
15% -29.1% 0% -25.9%
20% -36.0% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$24 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$330
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses760 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)844 / 805
History coverage28d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day97.7
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 844 Trades
no open positions (83 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 29 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Jun 29 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 29 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-31? Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-05-29? Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31? Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March Jun 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24? Jun 29 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 29 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 29 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 29 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-31? Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 29 $201 +$17 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 29 $161 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 29 $80 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 29 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 29 $160 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 29 $161 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 29 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 29 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 29 $80 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 29 $160 +$4 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $40 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $40 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records