Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:49:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3663…8950
sports · 136 markets active 2d ago
4.5score
+$59,794 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59,794 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$59,794
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses59 / 77
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$6,519
Open positions0
Markets (closed)136 / 136
Avg bet$2,553
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 136 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16,870
7 days+$8,202
14 days+$33,582
30 days+$46,900
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Gauthier Onclin 36¢ 0¢ $1,679 $0 −$1,679 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Alexis Galarneau 26¢ 0¢ $1,634 $0 −$1,634 (-100%)
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif Giorgia Pedone 20¢ 0¢ $1,493 $0 −$1,493 (-100%)
Giorgia Pedone vs. Mayar Sherif: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Victoria Bosio 29¢ 0¢ $2,315 $0 −$2,315 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $8,562 +$18,549 +217%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $1,711 −$1,679 -98%
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif Jun 09 $1,526 −$1,493 -98%
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 09 $2,364 −$2,315 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $1,668 −$1,634 -98%
Giorgia Pedone vs. Mayar Sherif: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 09 $114 −$114 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 09 $5,005 −$1,768 -35%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $4,878 +$7,143 +146%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $5,112 +$13,781 +270%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $2,256 +$796 +35%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 07 $510 −$510 -100%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 07 $1,348 −$1,348 -100%
Birmingham: Filippo Romano vs Otto Virtanen Jun 07 $2,420 −$829 -34%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 07 $4,864 −$4,864 -100%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 07 $4,604 −$4,604 -100%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $9,778 −$6,158 -63%
Foggia: Giorgia Pedone vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 07 $8,209 −$5,186 -63%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $58 +$42 +73%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $2,899 −$152 -5%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Jun 05 $4,573 −$427 -9%
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Darya Astakhova Jun 05 $1,123 +$975 +87%
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 05 $909 −$909 -100%
Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Keaton Hance vs Jamie Mackenzie Jun 04 $55 −$55 -100%
Birmingham: Felix Gill vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 04 $2,128 −$2,128 -100%
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Jun 04 $8,091 −$7,885 -98%
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $1,505 −$1,505 -100%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Milos Karol Jun 04 $6,275 −$6,275 -100%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 04 $1,548 +$3,231 +209%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $13,561 +$13,546 +100%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 04 $6,894 +$4,368 +63%
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Jelle Sels Jun 04 $535 −$279 -52%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Filippo Romano Jun 04 $3,300 +$2,638 +80%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $3,588 +$2,224 +62%
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan Jun 04 $3,632 +$6,014 +166%
Tyler: Andres Martin vs Blake Ellis Jun 03 $2 $0 +23%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 03 $1,287 +$2,231 +173%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 03 $2,342 −$2,342 -100%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Jun 03 $2,303 −$2,303 -100%
Heilbronn: Matej Dodig vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 03 $4,166 −$3,355 -80%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $1,734 +$2,632 +152%
Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Michele Ribecai Jun 02 $526 −$259 -49%
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 02 $2,384 −$2,384 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 02 $1,349 −$745 -55%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $3,274 −$3,274 -100%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Alex Marti Pujolras Jun 02 $3,548 −$3,548 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 02 $2,167 −$2,167 -100%
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sun Jun 02 $6,403 +$14,006 +219%
Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo Jun 01 $1,696 +$1,669 +98%
Foggia: Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova Jun 01 $815 +$984 +121%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$64,895
other 4% +$1,768
politics 2% −$1,785
crypto 1% −$4,871
finance 1% −$214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs SELL James McCabe 100¢ $27,111 41h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 30¢ $1,072 44h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 30¢ $2,144 44h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 30¢ $2,144 44h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $41 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $2 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $10 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $13 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 35¢ $71 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 35¢ $92 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 35¢ $10 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 35¢ $2 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $1 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $6 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $1 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $3 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 37¢ $465 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 36¢ $257 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 36¢ $954 45h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 33¢ $25 45h
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $217 2d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $303 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 18¢ $18 2d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 33¢ $404 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $3 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $1 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $1 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $0 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $1 2d
Modena: Giorgia Pedone vs Mayar Sherif BUY Giorgia Pedone 20¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -17.4% -25.2% 27% 27% +0.6%
≤30d 128 +9.2% -1.2% 40% 40% +3.7%
≤90d 136 +11.2% +0.6% 43% 43% +6.1%
all 136 +11.2% +0.6% 43% 43% +6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 43% +6.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.0% 40% -4.1%
15% -17.8% 35% -13.4%
20% -25.9% 32% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1601 history records