Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3689…41ef
crypto · 1425 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$185 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$185 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$185
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses967 / 457
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1424 / 1425
History coverage87d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days−$42
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +47%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +69%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$170
sports 4% +$1
other 2% −$17
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -1.1% -10.5% 72% 59% -24.2%
≤30d 499 -1.3% -10.7% 69% 59% -11.2%
≤90d 1424 -2.3% -11.6% 68% 53% -13.1%
all 1424 -2.3% -11.6% 68% 53% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 53% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 36% -21.4%
15% -27.8% 22% -29.0%
20% -34.8% 14% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.97 (match) · 3500 history records