Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:32:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3696…13c3
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses6 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 32¢ $33 $20 −$13 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% +$2
other 40% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $33 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +2.4% -7.3% 60% 30% -5.9%
≤30d 10 +2.4% -7.3% 60% 30% -5.9%
≤90d 10 +2.4% -7.3% 60% 30% -5.9%
all 10 +2.4% -7.3% 60% 30% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 30% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 30% -14.9%
15% -24.3% 20% -23.1%
20% -31.7% 20% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.24 · official $20.24 (match) · 37 history records