Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:46:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x3697…9a52
other · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses13 / 229
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)242 / 243
History coverage134d
Avg bet$233
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 1 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$20
14 days−$30
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $613 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $462 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $135 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $133 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $156 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 13 $437 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $340 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $152 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 12 $459 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 12 $871 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $397 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $320 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $475 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $446 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $478 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $604 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $436 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $309 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $403 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $415 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $186 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $226 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $406 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $635 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $496 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $293 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $597 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $403 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $191 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $558 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $564 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 04 $343 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $138 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $144 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $356 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $711 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $139 $0 +0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 03 $918 −$2 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $485 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $487 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $135 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $614 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $175 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $561 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $424 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 31 $508 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $69 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $270 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$46
sports 23% −$19
politics 7% −$6
culture 6% −$8
economics 6% −$3
crypto 5% −$4
world 3% −$3
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $59 9m
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $59 1h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $59 3h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $59 4h
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 6h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 7h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 9h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 9h
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 10h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $60 13h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $60 15h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 16h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 18h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 21h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 22h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $60 31h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $60 33h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $60 37h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $60 38h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $60 40h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $60 41h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $60 47h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $60 2d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 2d
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 176 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 242 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.30 · official $59.30 (match) · 1406 history records