Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36a3…fafb
other · 22 markets active 48d ago
0.0score
+$2,745,313 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,745,313 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $1,633,499 +$1,046,614 +64%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $338,020 +$231,791 +69%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $368,961 +$222,434 +60%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $31,777 −$31,777 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Apr 25 $176,824 −$176,824 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12? Apr 23 $548,431 −$548,431 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Apr 23 $122,572 −$122,572 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 23 $292,145 −$292,145 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? Apr 23 $375,922 +$96,981 +26%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $766,656 +$429,067 +56%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $74,602 +$28,172 +38%
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Apr 20 $366,898 +$350,408 +96%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $775,355 +$587,590 +76%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $926,750 +$1,163,802 +126%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Apr 12 $1,142,267 +$977,032 +86%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $1,408,455 +$997,818 +71%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $2,693,800 −$2,562,047 -95%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09? Apr 11 $784,958 +$448,044 +57%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 11 $163,200 −$163,200 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmane Apr 09 $5 $0 +0%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkacz Apr 09 $25,342 +$16,473 +65%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Apr 09 $58,710 +$46,084 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% +$1,477,888
sports 13% +$1,267,425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $1 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $14,735 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $949 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $24 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $506 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $4,943 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $8 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $18,224 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $36,290 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $30,493 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $16,728 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $52,609 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $25 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $111 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $46,322 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $33,914 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $11 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $51 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $49 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $236 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $753 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $1,410 47d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 61¢ $77,329 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $43 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $176 47d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 62¢ $21 47d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? BUY Yes 59¢ $56 47d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 22 +12.3% +1.6% 68% 64% +9.5%
all 22 +12.3% +1.6% 68% 64% +9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover114.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.6% 64% +9.5%
10% -8.1% 64% -1.0%
15% ← realistic here -17.0% 59% -10.6%
20% -25.1% 55% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1973 history records