Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36a5…445f
crypto · 169 markets active 4h ago
4.5score
+$51 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses109 / 59
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)168 / 169
History coverage69d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$35
14 days+$35
30 days+$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -91%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $15 −$12 -80%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 +$4 +52%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -31%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$6 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +63%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% +$34
sports 32% +$23
other 15% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 12¢ $3 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 97¢ $11 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $7 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 42¢ $7 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 24¢ $2 10h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 29h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 29h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $11 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 36h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 73¢ $11 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 37h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 37¢ $3 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +10.5% -0.0% 64% 64% -3.2%
≤30d 162 +10.5% -0.0% 64% 64% -3.2%
≤90d 168 +11.8% +1.1% 65% 64% -2.7%
all 168 +11.8% +1.1% 65% 64% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.1% 64% -2.7%
10% -8.5% 58% -12.0%
15% -17.4% 51% -20.5%
20% -25.5% 43% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 412 history records