Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36a8…35e7
crypto · 762 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$452 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$452 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$452
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses268 / 494
Open positions0
Markets (closed)762 / 762
History coverage54d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day43.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 762 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 39¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 73¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 70¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 37¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 32¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 22¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 60¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 34¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 35¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 19¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$439
other 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up $0 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up $0 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down $0 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -34.4% -40.6% 30% 30% -27.0%
≤30d 80 -34.4% -40.6% 30% 30% -27.0%
≤90d 762 -19.5% -27.2% 35% 32% -17.2%
all 762 -19.5% -27.2% 35% 32% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.2% 32% -17.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.2% 28% -25.2%
15% -40.5% 25% -32.4%
20% -46.4% 22% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2845 history records