Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:54:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36b8…4ee0
crypto · 843 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,693 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,689 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2,689
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses616 / 387
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1003 / 843
History coverage2d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day1408.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1003 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,689
7 days−$2,689
14 days−$2,689
30 days−$2,689
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 89¢ 52¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$15 -178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$185 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$15 -2892%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$11 -86%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$23 -1750%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -6022%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $8 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $4 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-22.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1003 -13.9% -22.1% 61% 20% -22.5%
≤30d 1003 -13.9% -22.1% 61% 20% -22.5%
≤90d 1003 -13.9% -22.1% 61% 20% -22.5%
all 1003 -13.9% -22.1% 61% 20% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1408.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.1% 20% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 6% -29.9%
15% -36.4% 3% -36.7%
20% -42.6% 1% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.01 · official $5.10 (match) · 3500 history records