trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 0% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 25 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $377 | −$79 | -21% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $908 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $910 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $912 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $2,789 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $1,830 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $919 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $1,852 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $921 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 22 | $922 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $1,856 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $924 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $927 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 12 | $926 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $930 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $933 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $777 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $943 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 26 | $943 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 24 | $944 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $946 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $947 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $948 | −$1 | -0% |