Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36cf…d3ae
crypto · 1243 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$788 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$782 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$782
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses589 / 649
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1238 / 1243
History coverage124d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day18.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 5 History 1238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$72
14 days−$77
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 63¢ 63¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ 86¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+88%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 44¢ 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-51%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 50¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-05-02? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-03? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Sara Bejlek 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Damir Dzumhur 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Gauthier Onclin 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Athletics New York Yankees 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$7 +176%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $1 +$1 +128%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $1 +$3 +223%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $3 −$2 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 −$4 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $3 +$4 +172%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $3 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 09 $1 +$1 +54%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $3 +$4 +128%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $1 +$2 +146%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $3 −$1 -29%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $3 +$2 +62%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 07 $5 +$7 +140%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $5 +$5 +105%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $8 −$7 -98%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Jun 06 $5 +$9 +172%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $6 +$3 +60%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Philip Henning Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $9 −$9 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $10 +$5 +48%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 05 $14 −$14 -98%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $4 −$4 -97%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 05 $5 +$4 +79%
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Jun 05 $10 +$7 +69%
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 05 $6 +$5 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$1,866
sports 15% +$824
other 7% −$119
politics 0% +$429
world 0% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 44¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 44¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 54¢ $5 2h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $3 5h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ $1 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 93¢ $11 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $4 11h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 43¢ $3 13h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 51¢ $5 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Arthur Rinderknech 33¢ $5 26h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 50¢ $1 26h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen SELL Robin Montgomery 100¢ $2 26h
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Anastasia Potapova 33¢ $2 28h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen BUY Robin Montgomery 43¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics SELL Marton Fucsovics 99¢ $4 2d
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova BUY Victoria Mboko 64¢ $1 2d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin BUY Gauthier Onclin 38¢ $1 2d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY Zizou Bergs 68¢ $2 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 19¢ $3 2d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 54¢ $5 2d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 19¢ $3 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 36¢ $3 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 29¢ $3 2d
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Maria BUY Maria Sakkari 49¢ $2 3d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $2 3d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Emma Navarro 58¢ $1 3d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Zeynep Sonmez 100¢ $7 3d
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen BUY Janice Tjen 34¢ $3 3d
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Zeynep Sonmez 43¢ $3 3d
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek BUY Sara Bejlek 36¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -33.4% -39.8% 28% 28% -45.8%
≤30d 128 -18.6% -26.4% 33% 33% -29.5%
≤90d 510 +0.4% -9.1% 36% 36% -6.5%
all 1238 +0.9% -8.7% 48% 46% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 46% -10.7%
10% -17.5% 42% -19.2%
15% -25.5% 36% -27.0%
20% -32.8% 29% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.23 · official $5.23 (match) · 2851 history records