Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:43:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x36d0…a6c2 crypto 75 markets active 21h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$10 (+5%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate39%29W / 45L
Drawdown78%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day16.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$12
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$10
sports 3% $0
other 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -16.2% -24.2% 26% 26% -30.3%
≤30d 74 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -7.1%
≤90d 74 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -7.1%
all 74 -8.7% -17.4% 39% 39% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 39% -7.1%
10% -25.3% 36% -16.0%
15% -32.5% 34% -24.1%
20% -39.1% 27% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +3% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.64 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses29 / 45
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 75
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 13 $1 +$5 +512%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$9 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$9 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Terence Atmane 7¢ $1 20h
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova BUY Ekaterina Alexandrova 2¢ $1 21h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 2d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 2¢ $1 4d
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 2¢ $1 4d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa SELL Tessa Brockmann 76¢ $6 4d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 5d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 9¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 172 history records