trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $172 | $175 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 12? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | $14 | $14 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $125 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $53 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $132 | +$7 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 11? | Jun 11 | $158 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $132 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $125 | +$8 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10? | Jun 11 | $98 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 10? | Jun 10 | $38 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10? | Jun 10 | $141 | +$5 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $39 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 9? | Jun 09 | $135 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $128 | +$7 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 9? | Jun 09 | $77 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 9? | Jun 08 | $24 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 8? | Jun 08 | $50 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $66 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $29 | +$2 | +7% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.6% |
| all | 19 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.1% | 0% | -5.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -14.2% | 0% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 0% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 0% | -30.4% |