trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +19.9% | +8.4% | 79% | 68% | +7.1% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 56% | 48% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 56% | 48% | -8.7% |
| all | 27 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 56% | 48% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 48% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 37% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 30% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 26% | -32.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38¢ | 37¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 70¢ | $40 | $62 | +$22 (+56%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $38 | $44 | +$6 (+16%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $45 | $43 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | England | 38¢ | 38¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $18 | −$12 (-39%) |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 26¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 23 | $3 | +$1 | +27% |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $51 | +$31 | +61% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $51 | +$35 | +69% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $101 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Jun 22 | $113 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24? | Jun 22 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $3 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 22 | $73 | +$1 | +1% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$14 | +69% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$6 | +12% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $15 | +$8 | +52% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $152 | +$47 | +31% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $3 | +$2 | +61% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $12 | +$8 | +64% |
| Will Hong Kong have 500mm or more of precipitation in June? | Jun 19 | $4 | +$6 | +139% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Jun 19 | $94 | +$40 | +42% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 08 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $13 | −$9 | -68% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $26 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $26 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? | May 31 | $24 | −$21 | -85% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 29 | $49 | −$14 | -28% |
| Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May? | May 29 | $46 | −$35 | -76% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22? | May 29 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |