Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:19:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36e6…d88e
crypto · 185 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
−$1,042 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,042 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,042
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses97 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 185
History coverage246d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days+$110
14 days+$64
30 days+$146
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down on November 15? Up 28¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 8? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 7? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ma Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$15 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$50 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $125 +$18 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$25 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$12 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $321 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $317 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$38 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$87 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 08 $20 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 03 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 03 $71 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 03 $18 −$17 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$14 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 24 $16 +$1 +4%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $41 +$81 +196%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ma May 09 $1 +$1 +132%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ma May 08 $43 −$40 -92%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Ma May 08 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 08 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 08 $11 −$11 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$313
sports 46% +$44
world 4% −$102
other 4% −$605
weather 0% −$52
politics 0% −$9
economics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $47 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $32 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $143 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $46 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -41.0% -46.6% 38% 32% -3.7%
≤30d 44 -30.7% -37.3% 43% 34% -2.8%
≤90d 70 -24.1% -31.4% 44% 37% -6.2%
all 194 -13.6% -21.9% 50% 35% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 35% -13.2%
10% -29.3% 26% -21.5%
15% -36.2% 20% -29.1%
20% -42.4% 15% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 540 history records