Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36f1…e1f9
crypto · 1136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,906 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,909 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$162
Realized−$1,909
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses519 / 612
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1131 / 1136
History coverage90d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 1131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$176
7 days−$288
14 days−$1,782
30 days−$1,779
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $90 $93 +$3 (+3%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 32¢ 74¢ $10 $23 +$13 (+130%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 94¢ $9 $16 +$7 (+73%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-58%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$11 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$20 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$13 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$31 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$13 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $131 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$10 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$32 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $85 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$28 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$16 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $235 −$142 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $231 −$14 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$31 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $138 −$38 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$62 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $210 +$48 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $123 +$24 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$33 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $166 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$67 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$117 +415%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$12 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$32 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$12 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$46 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$42 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $113 −$47 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $772 −$246 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$79 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$70 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,828
other 1% +$49
finance 1% −$65
sports 0% −$32
politics 0% +$1
culture 0% −$8
economics 0% −$5
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $9 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 32m
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 34¢ $31 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 422 -0.0% -9.5% 51% 50% -12.2%
≤30d 938 -4.6% -13.7% 46% 42% -13.5%
≤90d 1131 -5.3% -14.4% 46% 42% -13.7%
all 1131 -5.3% -14.4% 46% 42% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 42% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 39% -21.9%
15% -30.0% 35% -29.5%
20% -36.9% 31% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.27 · official $167.76 · 2755 history records