Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

36
0x36f8…10cd
crypto · 1176 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,465 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,466 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33
Realized−$1,466
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses981 / 592
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1573 / 1176
Avg bet$10
Trades / day69.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,776
7 days−$1,675
14 days−$1,647
30 days−$1,452
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $32 $33 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$282
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $29 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $19 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-31.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 743 -56.8% -60.9% 35% 12% -37.4%
≤30d 1530 -25.5% -32.6% 62% 22% -19.7%
≤90d 1573 -24.8% -31.9% 62% 22% -19.5%
all 1573 -24.8% -31.9% 62% 22% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.9% 22% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -38.5% 11% -27.2%
15% -44.4% 7% -34.2%
20% -49.9% 4% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.98 · official $32.65 (match) · 3500 history records