Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:35:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
36 0x36fb…b23a crypto 1056 markets active 1h ago coverage 34d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 33d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,089 (+3%) realized +$2,089 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate81%858W / 197L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$60per market
Trades / day69.2pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 34d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$653
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -8.3% -17.1% 72% 66% -15.8%
≤30d 898 -0.3% -9.8% 78% 25% -11.7%
≤90d 1055 +1.5% -8.2% 81% 24% -10.5%
all 1055 +1.5% -8.2% 81% 24% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 24% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 16% -19.0%
15% -25.0% 12% -26.8%
20% -32.3% 8% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
69% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +23% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$28 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,089
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses858 / 197
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 1056
History coverage34d ⚠
Avg bet$60
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1055 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 23 $90 +$10 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 23 $81 −$80 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $79 +$21 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 23 $82 +$18 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $76 +$24 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $72 +$28 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $63 +$37 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $68 −$66 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $84 −$83 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $70 −$69 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $77 −$76 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $84 −$83 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $77 +$23 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $76 +$24 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $90 +$10 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $75 +$25 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $90 +$10 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $70 +$30 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 22 $84 +$16 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 22 $79 +$21 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $75 +$25 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $46 −$44 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $75 +$25 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $92 +$8 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $80 +$20 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $67 +$33 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $72 +$28 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $77 +$23 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $89 +$11 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $75 −$74 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $76 −$75 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +159%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$2 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $81 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $90 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $79 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $82 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $72 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $68 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $84 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $77 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $76 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $77 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $90 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $75 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $90 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $70 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $84 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $79 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $75 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $46 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $91 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $75 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $92 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $80 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $67 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $72 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $89 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $77 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records