Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x370b…0bdf
other · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$6 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions9
Markets (closed)2 / 11
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 9 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 37¢ 19¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-49%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 38¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-51%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% −$1
sports 44% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 88¢ $1 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 2d
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 3d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-35.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -29.2% -35.9% 50% 50% -35.7%
≤30d 2 -29.2% -35.9% 50% 50% -35.7%
≤90d 2 -29.2% -35.9% 50% 50% -35.7%
all 2 -29.2% -35.9% 50% 50% -35.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.9% 50% -35.7%
10% -42.1% 50% -41.8%
15% -47.7% 50% -47.4%
20% -52.8% 0% -52.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.89 · official $15.89 (match) · 12 history records