trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $151 | $150 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $22 | $0 | −$22 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $32 | $0 | −$32 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $99 | −$34 | -34% |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $81 | −$56 | -70% |
| Thailand leading at halftime? | Jun 09 | $30 | −$19 | -64% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $32 | −$32 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 06 | $51 | −$18 | -36% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $22 | −$22 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $5 | +$6 | +112% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 04 | $57 | −$29 | -50% |
| Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $5 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $245 | −$22 | -9% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $51 | +$57 | +112% |
| Will Guinea win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $74 | −$62 | -84% |
| Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $12 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Singapore win on 2026-06-05? | Jun 04 | $69 | −$7 | -10% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 02 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $52 | +$36 | +70% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? | May 30 | $12 | −$10 | -84% |
| Arsenal FC leading at halftime? | May 30 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $19 | −$6 | -34% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -60.6% | -64.4% | 0% | 0% | -58.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 17% | 13% | -33.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 17% | 13% | -33.7% |
| all | 23 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 17% | 13% | -33.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.7% | 13% | -33.7% |
| 10% | -40.9% | 13% | -40.0% |
| 15% | -46.6% | 13% | -45.8% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 13% | -51.2% |