Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:32:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x371b…0925 crypto 491 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (145 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,200 (-6%) realized −$1,656 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate67%329W / 161L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day144.6pace
Fees−$55est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$980
14 days−$1,656
30 days−$1,656
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% −$976
sports 17% −$826
other 5% +$98
finance 0% +$21
tech 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (145 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 -1.9% -11.3% 65% 53% -16.1%
≤30d 490 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 52% -17.5%
≤90d 490 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 52% -17.5%
all 490 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 52% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover144.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 52% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 42% -25.4%
15% -26.8% 32% -32.6%
20% -34.0% 21% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$34 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,656
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses329 / 161
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)490 / 491
History coverage9d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day144.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 490 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $82 −$17 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$45 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $136 −$39 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$9 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $18 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$14 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$24 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$17 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$12 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$11 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$20 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$15 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$8 +34%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +52%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 +$3 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1751 history records