Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:27:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3725…ad88
crypto · 299 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,116 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,001 · open −$116
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$273
Realized−$1,001
Unrealized−$116
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses136 / 162
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)298 / 299
History coverage1d
Avg bet$177
Trades / day2876.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 298 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,001
7 days−$1,001
14 days−$1,001
30 days−$1,001
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $193 $272 +$78 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $117 $1 −$116 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $186 −$40 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $197 +$23 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $174 +$56 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $133 +$18 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $232 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $260 +$52 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $310 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $159 +$68 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $254 −$87 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $592 −$104 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$32 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $215 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $275 +$118 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$26 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,247 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $126 +$15 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $262 −$14 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$7 +203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $427 +$34 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $728 −$428 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $210 +$88 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,867 −$456 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,148 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$25 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,333 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $316 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $935 −$484 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $274 +$33 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $381 −$81 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $610 +$433 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $210 −$210 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $46 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $41 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $40 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $14 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $22 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $23 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $23 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $22 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $33 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $63 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $32 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 298 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 34% -11.2%
≤30d 298 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 34% -11.2%
≤90d 298 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 34% -11.2%
all 298 -5.6% -14.6% 46% 34% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2876.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 34% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 20% -19.7%
15% -30.2% 13% -27.5%
20% -37.1% 10% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $273.02 · official $273.02 (match) · 3500 history records