Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T11:18:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
37 0x372a…eb59 crypto 1084 markets active 0h ago coverage 93d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,062 (-4%) realized −$1,062 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate43%470W / 614L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day26.7pace
Fees−$54est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$339
7 days−$358
14 days−$1,073
30 days−$1,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% −$1,113
sports 17% −$272
other 5% −$361
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -29.3% -36.0% 34% 33% -37.7%
≤30d 501 -14.0% -22.2% 44% 42% -22.3%
≤90d 1046 -12.6% -21.0% 44% 42% -16.6%
all 1084 -13.0% -21.3% 43% 41% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 41% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -28.8% 39% -23.6%
15% -35.7% 36% -31.0%
20% -42.0% 31% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$18 vs −$16 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

93d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,062
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses470 / 614
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1084 / 1084
History coverage93d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1084 Trades
no open positions (478 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 27 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 27 $31 +$26 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 27 $12 −$7 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 27 $11 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 27 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 27 $23 −$12 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $2 +$9 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $103 −$98 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $103 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$39 +368%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $10 +$14 +137%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2608 history records