Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3731…d7bc
crypto · 231 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses142 / 87
Open positions2
Markets (closed)229 / 231
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day960.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 59¢ 82¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +59%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +69%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -84%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -4.0% -13.1% 62% 45% -10.2%
≤30d 229 -4.0% -13.1% 62% 45% -10.2%
≤90d 229 -4.0% -13.1% 62% 45% -10.2%
all 229 -4.0% -13.1% 62% 45% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover960.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 45% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 29% -18.8%
15% -29.0% 20% -26.6%
20% -36.0% 14% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.01 · official $2.25 (match) · 1119 history records