trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 33% | 0% | -10.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 64% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 15 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 73% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.8% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $45 | $45 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? | Jun 26 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 17 | $46 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30? | Jun 05 | $23 | +$1 | +3% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | May 22 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 19 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 15 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | May 13 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Apr 29 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bulls vs. Thunder | Apr 29 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Jazz vs. Nuggets | Apr 29 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 29 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Feb 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? | Feb 06 | $7 | $0 | +0% |