Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x374e…87c9
sports · 100 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,577 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,546 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$413
Realized−$2,546
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses37 / 57
Est. fees paid−$250
Open positions6
Markets (closed)94 / 100
History coverage16d
Avg bet$177
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 6 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,103
7 days−$816
14 days−$2,075
30 days−$2,546
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 50¢ 100¢ $90 $181 +$91 (+102%)
Tajon Buchanan: 3+ shots No 38¢ 80¢ $53 $110 +$58 (+109%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots Yes 5¢ 26¢ $4 $21 +$17 (+404%)
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Fritz 48¢ 1¢ $97 $1 −$96 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Crystal Palace FC 35¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 42¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 42¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 40¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 55¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 42¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) Senegal 34¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 34¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta Thiago Agustin Tirante 31¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry Ann Li 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia Barcelona 57¢ 0¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva Yulia Starodubtseva 52¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $153 +$196 +129%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $155 +$145 +93%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $414 −$413 -100%
Patrik Schick: 3+ shots Jun 12 $8 +$15 +186%
Lee Kangin: 3+ shots Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $132 +$210 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $102 +$111 +109%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots Jun 12 $199 −$181 -91%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $101 +$22 +22%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $431 +$583 +135%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $304 +$250 +82%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $253 +$206 +81%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $304 +$232 +76%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $153 −$150 -98%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 10 $114 +$64 +56%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $198 −$197 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 10 $45 −$45 -100%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $303 +$120 +40%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $152 −$150 -99%
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) Jun 09 $62 −$61 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $153 +$196 +129%
Ilkley: Kyrian Jacquet vs Toby Samuel Jun 08 $151 +$93 +62%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $236 −$145 -61%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $693 −$136 -20%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $315 +$184 +58%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $214 −$214 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $227 −$227 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $295 −$277 -94%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $404 −$203 -50%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $203 −$35 -17%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 06 $304 −$304 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $654 −$148 -23%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $152 −$150 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $12 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $153 −$150 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $170 +$112 +66%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $51 −$51 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) Jun 06 $21 −$21 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $76 −$75 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 05 $152 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $102 +$231 +226%
Arnaldi vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 38.5 Jun 05 $101 −$5 -5%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 05 $152 −$150 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $112 −$35 -31%
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia Jun 04 $412 −$412 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $164 −$161 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$2,875
other 8% +$368
crypto 0% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Julio César Enciso: 3+ shots BUY Yes 5¢ $4 35m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 34¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 55¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $30 1h
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) BUY Fritz 48¢ $98 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 51¢ $155 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 49¢ $102 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $118 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $75 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $110 5h
Tajon Buchanan: 3+ shots BUY No 38¢ $53 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $132 15h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 15h
Patrik Schick: 3+ shots BUY No 35¢ $8 15h
Lee Kangin: 3+ shots BUY No 50¢ $10 15h
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) BUY Texas Rangers 81¢ $101 18h
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots BUY Yes 50¢ $8 20h
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots SELL No 93¢ $326 20h
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots SELL No 93¢ $9 20h
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots SELL No 93¢ $25 20h
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots BUY Yes 50¢ $1 20h
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots SELL No 93¢ $128 20h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 67¢ $202 21h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 39¢ $102 22h
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots BUY No 38¢ $74 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -8.3% -17.1% 43% 41% -17.7%
≤30d 94 -18.0% -25.9% 39% 38% -22.8%
≤90d 94 -18.0% -25.9% 39% 38% -22.8%
all 94 -18.0% -25.9% 39% 38% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.9% 38% -22.8%
10% -32.9% 37% -30.2%
15% -39.4% 37% -37.0%
20% -45.4% 33% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $413.12 · official $413.12 (match) · 298 history records