Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:44:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

37
0x3757…600c
crypto · 34 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses12 / 21
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)33 / 34
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day103.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Dripmen 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$11 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$5 +23%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +508%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $6 +$2 +37%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$24
sports 6% −$7
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $15 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $21 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $33 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $32 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -4.9% -14.0% 36% 30% -18.9%
≤30d 33 -4.9% -14.0% 36% 30% -18.9%
≤90d 33 -4.9% -14.0% 36% 30% -18.9%
all 33 -4.9% -14.0% 36% 30% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 30% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 27% -26.6%
15% -29.7% 24% -33.7%
20% -36.6% 15% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.10 · official $0.10 (match) · 115 history records